Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 204.719867 229.682556 257.212401 289.951184 327.984973 370.970918 423.502747
2025-03-09 166.550793 199.577483 239.124614 290.474989 356.131035 438.285246 550.492236
2025-03-16 142.622982 178.280241 223.324910 285.354748 370.075272 484.033120 652.965776
2025-03-23 127.984987 165.462621 214.891845 286.327257 389.450535 537.059123 772.328096
2025-03-30 114.605827 152.199371 203.529655 280.699087 397.354664 573.386274 872.241136
2025-04-06 105.085138 142.918179 196.198210 279.212486 410.135619 617.706965 992.068692
2025-04-13 94.242656 130.577026 183.004806 267.044186 404.186527 630.593793 1060.071907
2025-04-20 90.421904 127.976571 183.701476 276.027789 432.881761 704.685275 1253.098909
2025-04-27 87.548169 126.435802 185.699493 287.075362 466.231543 792.036263 1492.084159
2025-05-04 82.726171 121.443966 181.747188 287.652673 481.077255 847.524878 1678.977610
2025-05-11 76.877453 114.361421 173.783899 280.417223 480.550603 872.948349 1805.675847
2025-05-18 71.877233 108.257648 166.897687 274.300308 481.202598 900.580465 1944.150945
2025-05-25 69.439328 106.222905 166.765680 280.566015 507.241727 986.961235 2255.273377
2025-06-01 66.171914 102.584265 163.607238 280.928622 521.591482 1050.914171 2529.839994
2025-06-08 62.371748 97.772675 158.001758 276.018063 524.231870 1088.558628 2743.489593
2025-06-15 59.807936 94.889484 155.562578 276.951381 539.414661 1158.700979 3077.909917
2025-06-22 56.544546 90.577327 150.214309 271.549114 539.855135 1192.539922 3310.937959
2025-06-29 54.097909 87.547212 146.988178 270.122011 549.105177 1250.798446 3648.508647
2025-07-06 50.481482 82.227931 139.149899 258.437979 532.991350 1238.763231 3734.116041
2025-07-13 49.723086 82.004788 140.886797 267.064530 566.481002 1369.836452 4410.779580
2025-07-20 49.218568 82.203250 143.428201 277.669385 606.494447 1529.532255 5291.253865
2025-07-27 47.575888 80.190783 141.505143 278.223453 621.085708 1616.746409 5911.351685
2025-08-03 45.219873 76.714118 136.457840 271.278536 615.128133 1638.485077 6240.942660